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hedgtrade


Machine Learning (ML) using Supervised Modelling & Cyclical Regression



collective sentiment & cycles

Trading the stock market is probably the hardest job in the world and as a result of that the most humbling experience one may ever have and yet again its rythms follow the aggregated sentiment of a collectivity. Is the stock market therefore really that random? What if we were to apply a set of mathematics and statistics alongside cyclical concepts? Or even better compute all that in real time across thousands of symbols and publish it in comprehensive and interacive dashboards with visual charts?

cyclical regression

Cyclical regression analysis is a continuously evolving family of algorithms that provides the simultaneous estimation of all risk parameters of a repetitive oscillation model. We have spent 7+ years developing a cyclical regression model and platform that's able to track in real time more than 2700 instruments across an array of asset classes. Instead of leveraging existing libraries we have developed the algorithm from the ground up hence allowing for optimal performance and fine tuning as well over time. The Hedgtrade platform is a unique offering in that respect combining not only cyclical projections but also combining it with seasonal patterns, technical momentum and trend indicators, dark pool and order book data among many other data sets.

machine learning (ML) for time & price projection

At a high level the computation of the cyclical regression starts with the idea similar to that of a Fourier transform which is a mathematical function that transforms a timeseries from the time domain to the frequency domain. This is a very powerful transformation which gives us the ability to understand the harmonics that are inside the underlying data. Complex signals made from the sum of sine waves are all around us and that includes stock market dataseries. In fact, all signals in the real world can be represented as the sum of sine waves, and this is where the marriage of cyclical regression along with the computation of the underlying dominant harmonics of any financial instrument starts to make sense in order to uncover alpha, but not yet and one still has to extend that matrix into a time projection. This is where the world of machine learning comes into play in order to generate and document projections across all kinds of timeframes, instruments, and asset classes.

As an example of what the Fourier-like Hedgtrade transform model does, let's look at the two graphs below:

market cycles
One of the key steps is to break down the market data series into its own underlying dominant oscillating components.

market cycles
And to finally filter it by its most dominant harmonics in order to feed the machine learning projection model

And the result of that is a projection into the future that correlates with the underlying matrix, given all things being equal and updated in real time by the quant platform - example below of a projection with the Russell 2000 going into the next couple of weeks along with the thought process that it's all about building the sum of the evidence from a statistical point of view along with Hedgtrade's supporting models including but not limited to seasonality (aggregated, decennial, election, day of month, etc), order book stats, liquidity models, technicals (momentum & trends), VIX projection, US dollar projection, and so on...

market cycles

Among other data points, the regression model also offers points of reversals for placing T/Ps and S/Ls alongside its technical trends and momentum metrics hence supporting the overall thought process for the investor to build the sum of the evidence and have a statisitcal bias that's removed from any emotion or as some would call it FOMO among other reactions to market movements

momentum


Hedgtrade.com is not a registered investment advisor, please refer to our terms of service, and privacy policy for more information. Please note that by subscribing to our service you agree to those terms as well as the no indemnity clause.

Copyright 2024 Hedgtrade - All Rights Reserved



Full API Access for Institutional Investors


In addition to the comprehensive visual experience that the platform's dashboards offer to the end users on a day to day basis, the tech savvy investors have also access to Hedgtrade's underlying data sets in real time.

Have an internal project ? Or looking at whitelabelling some reporting data ? Or maybe for publishing through your own solution or what have you? Please reach out for any questions you may have and our team will be happy to assist.


https://api.united-river.com/help



API






Trader GPT - Empowering Your Trading Journey

Why Trader GPT?

Trader GPT is not just a chat trading bot but also a full blown real time reporting environment that has more than 4 million lines of programming code and supports more than 2600+ instruments - forex, metals, crypto, US bonds, commodities, global indices and US stocks.

It is your strategic wingman in navigating the complexities of the global markets. With a robust combination of machine learning, cyclical regression, and predictive analytics, Trader GPT empowers traders and investors to make informed decisions.





Key Features


Multi-Factor Cyclical & Pattern Analytics
Machine Learning for Time & Price Projection
Real-Time Insights for 2600+ Instruments
Visual Dashboards for Enhanced User Experience
Mobile App for On-the-Go Trading

Experience Unmatched Benefits with Generative AI & Machine Learning For More Than 2600+ Instruments


Visual representation of Trader GPT dashboard

Increased Profitability - gain a significant edge in your investment and trading strategy
Time Saving - get essential information to make informed decisions, saving valuable time
Reduced Risk - minimize risk by avoiding underperforming investments and drawdown
Access to Proprietary Technology - utilize exclusive technology and algorithms for a competitive advantage
Increased Transparency - visual dashboards offer a clear understanding of the market
Ease of Use - user-friendly dashboards simplify complex data for informed decision-making

Subscribe Now | 3-Day trial available

Trader GPT Mobile App

Take your trading journey on the move with the Trader GPT Mobile App. Access real-time insights, predictive analytics, and market trends in the palm of your hand. Whether you're commuting or enjoying your coffee, stay connected to the market anywhere.

Visual representation of Trader GPT dashboard

3-Day Trial Available

Choose a plan that suits your trading needs - available for both retail traders, and institutional investors. Unlock the full potential of Trader GPT with our flexible pricing options.

Subscribe Now | 3-Day trial available

Stay Informed with Trader GPT Blog

Explore our blog for in-depth articles, market insights, and tips from industry experts. Enhance your trading knowledge with the latest updates.

Read Our Latest Posts



Benefits

Traders and investors alike live in a world of probabilities not certainties Along with the Hedgtrade quantitative platform, the monitoring of the overall directional risks becomes the job - effectively turning the manager into the business of minimizing drawdown and optimizing the opportunity from a statistical point of view

Our users have access to a machine learning and forward looking engine that helps forecast cyclicly adjusted predictions in short, mid and long term frames. Supported by a quagmire of timeseries calculations that derive detailed cyclicalities and other predictive analytics in real time, including but not limited also to seasonal patterns, reversal points & pivots, cyclicly adjusted RSIs and option maxims series and liquidity projections among many others

The Hedgtrade quantitative platform is maintained in real time across 2600+ financial instruments, and suffice to say it's taken the team more than 7+ years to design, code and backtest and has more than 3.8 million lines of programming code as of 2024. Our platform is a living organism and never stops growing, come join us and free trials are available to eligible participants

market cycles



Key Benefits

INSIGHTS INTO MARKET TRENDS - By using a combination of cycle analysis, and other metrics such as the aggregated retail order book, you can receive valuable insights into the future trends for more than 2600 instruments across different asset classes (forex, US indices, commodities, metals, crypto, ETFs & US stocks, etc…)

IMPROVED INVESTMENT DECISIONS - By having access to accurate and up-to-date information, you are better equipped to make informed investment and trading decisions

INCREASED PROFITABILITY - By using the platform’s content to inform your investment decisions, you may see an increase in your overall profitability, and less drawdown

INCREASED PEACE OF MIND - By having a deeper understanding of the market, you will be able to make more informed decisions, reducing the uncertainty and stress often associated with investing.

VISUAL EXPERIENCE - The visual dashboards offer a simple yet efficient user experience that allows for an instant understanding of the overall direction

EXPERT ANALYSIS - The analysis is performed using standard and well proven statistical and mathematical models, we have no secret or magic data to hide just a well organized and structured financial interpretation for more than 2600+ instruments, ensuring the quality and accuracy of the information provided


Hedge Funds, Family Offices / Independent AMs, HNWIs, Trading Platforms & Ohter Investment Houses

Have the Hedgtrade platform provide an additional level of comfort and confidence to what is a constant flux of stressful trading and investment decisions

For the more sophisticated and quantitative guys out there, the Hedgtrade reporting service also includes a set of APIs that can be consumed hence providing a seamless experience and a way to enrich your architectural automation

Free trials are available, contact us now for more detail

Ready to give it a go? We offer a 7-day risk free trial to eligible participants

Financial Advisors, WMs, and even for the well educated and seasoned retail traders & investors

The best trading and investment coaches out there will all tell us the same thing, we need a system. Only with a system can we all be more consistent and therefore profitable over time. The Hedgtrade platform is a stable, statistically adjusted predictive model. The firm's mantra being to democratize its core risk engine, and make the world a better place by helping discerted traders and investors alike

We are keen to hear from you and see if and how we can help you and even your clients

Contact us now using the online form or by email and we will get back to you as soon as possible



Cycles & Pattterns

Cycle analysis, multi pattern seasonalities combined with other forward looking metrics can be used as a part of a comprehensive market research strategy to predict risk adjusted trends in the capital markets. However, it is important to note that the stock market is complex and influenced by many different factors, and no single model or approach can guarantee accurate predictions.

Cycle analysis involves identifying patterns and regularities in market data and using that information to forecast future trends. Seasonality (day of month, day of week, political cycle, decennial, and so on) refers to the tendency for certain market trends to occur at regular intervals throughout time, based on factors such as market behavior and historical patterns.

When all combined together, cycle analysis, seasonality and other forward looking metrics such as our aggregated retail order book model among others can provide valuable insights into the market and potential trading opportunities. Some of our most sophisticated clients also use the platform in conjunction with other forms of analysis, such as fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic analysis, to gain a more complete picture of short, mid and long term market conditions.

It is always important to have a well-defined trading plan and risk management strategy in place when using any kind of market analysis or predictive model. The stock market is inherently uncertain and subject to sudden, unpredictable changes, and it's crucial to be prepared for both positive and negative outcomes, so why not look at the Hedgtrade platform as part of your trading and investment toolkit, its difference will be felt instantly.

The Hedgtrade reporting service comes along with many different forward looking metrics and our users appreciate the ease of navigation in addition to the timely predictive analytics it provides. We do trials and also short web based product demonstrations, get in touch with the team to find out more.

market cycles

Cyclicality Models Running in Real Time For 2600+ instruments

Supports more than 2600+ financial instruments, provides L/S trading bias in real time, as well as fully documented reporting dashboards that are updated non stop

Multi Asset Class & Template Driven

The platform is template driven in that any instrument can be mapped and onboarded onto the platform The following asset classes are currently supported: US indices, Major/Minor/Exotic FOREX pairs, Commodities, Metals, Crypto (Bitcoin), Treasuries/Bonds, ETF – country, ETF – sector US Stocks – DJIA constituents, US Stocks – SP500 constituents, US Stocks – Russell 2000 constituents

Forward Looking Analytics for the US Stock Market

One of the keys if not the key requirement to being successful in trading is not to look at what has happened (think "technical analysis"), but rather to look at data sets that provide a forward looking outlook. The Hedgtrade platform provides short, mid and long term forward looking projections and detailed guidance. Reach out today for a few sample screenshots and additional information, or even a short product demonstration

Efficient Design, Great Visual User Experience & API Library for Automation

Pointless to say, data sets and predictive analytics are as good as the publishing mechanism that's used to consume them. We have spent a massive amount of time in listening to our customers' feedback and ideas and thats an approach that will never change with Hedgtrade. A library of RESTful Web Services (API) is also made avaialble to those that require integration and automation, we are ourselves quite tech savvy and can help you customize any workflow you may require. Pleaae reach out and let us know your requirements

Real Time Email Alerts
& Weekly US Market Report

market cycles

S&P500 Sample Report





Interactive Dashboards

market cycles


Machine Learning (ML) using Supervised Modelling & Cyclical Regression

Available for 2600+ instruments, combine these projections along with additional markers, included but not limited to buy/sell signal logic and various tyoes of seasonalities among others


market cycles



S&P500 Sample Report


Key Advantages

  • INCREASED PROFITABILITY - By using our forecasting service you gain a significant edge in your investment and trading strategy, resulting often in increased profits

  • TIME SAVING - The service saves you time by providing you with the most important information you need to make informed investment decisions

  • REDUCED RISK - Our predictions and analysis help you minimize risk by avoiding underperforming investments and drawdown

  • ACCESS TO PROPRIETARY TECHNOLOGY - Our service utilizes proprietary technology and algorithms that are not available to the general public, providing you with a competitive advantage

  • INCREASED TRANSPARENCY - Our visual dashboards provide you with a clear and transparent understanding of the market, allowing you to make informed decisions with confidence

  • EASE OF USE - Our visual dashboards are user-friendly and easy to understand, making it simple again for you to make informed investment decisions





AI-driven trading risk & volatility navigator for capital markets

A highly visual alpha-generating and beta-neutralizing quantitative research platform for traders & investors alongside generative AI for user interrogation


Patterns & Analytics for more than 2600+ instruments - US & Global Indices, Forex, Commodities, Metals, Treasuries, Bitcoin, US Stocks & ETFs. Leverage the unique benefit of being able to crunch hundreds of risk metrics into a simple AI-driven Q&A environment for alpha discovery

3-Day Free Trial Available



Trader GPT
for traders & investors


Powered by OpenAI's GPT-4, Trader GPT offers a large language model (LLM) chat function that allows you to ask questions & identify opportunities in real time for 2600+ symbols - and by design with a strong focus on the US stock market


Take A Look 3-Day Trial

Multi Factor Cyclical & Pattern Analytics Reporting


Generative AI & predictive analytics that cover more than 2600+ instruments across various asset classes - forex, metals, crypto, US bonds, commodities, global indices and US stocks - and helps investors accrue their alpha & minimize drawdown


Benefits Features

API for Data & Research - Custom Data Integration


Seamlessly integrate Hedgtrade's cyclical & pattern analytics and even your own internal data sets alongside our GPT 4 engine.

Create a world-class AI experience and power new insights into your investment capabilities

API Contact Us

Quantitative Research Platform for Traders & Investors

forward looking market risk analytics that bring insight & visibility as to the direction of your trading decisions


Making the Complicated Simple


Traders & investors live in a world of probabilities - not certainties

Along with the Hedgtrade quantitative platform, the monitoring of the overall directional risks becomes the job - effectively turning the manager into the business of minimizing drawdown and optimizing the opportunity from a statistical point of view

Our users have access to a machine learning and forward looking engine that helps generate cyclicly adjusted projections in short, mid and long term frames. Supported by a quagmire of timeseries calculations that derive detailed cyclicalities and other predictive analytics in real time, including but not limited to seasonal patterns (aggregate, election, day of month, etc), reversal points & pivots, cyclicly adjusted RSIs and option maxims series and liquidity projections among many others


Product Sheet Sample Models

Multi Asset Class, 2600+ Instruments


The Hedgtrade quantitative platform is a multi factor cyclical & predictive analytics reporting solution that covers more than 2600+ instruments across various asset classes - forex, metals, crypto, US bonds, commodities, global indices and US stocks - and helps investors manage alpha & minimize drawdown

Hedgtrade is maintained in real time and suffice to say it's taken the team more than 7+ years to design, code and backtest and has more than 3.8 million lines of programming code as of 2024.

Our platform is a living organism and never stops growing, come join us and free trials are available to eligible participants



Recent News & Articles


Hubbis - Asia Wealth Management


November 2023 - Singapore Algorithmic Trading Platform Aims to Fast-Forward Wealth Managers’ Investment & Trading Capabilities

Read Article


Hubbis Investment Forum - November 2023


November 2023 - We presented Hedgtrade in front of 300+ institutional investors keeping in mind that wealth managers are long term investors, but what about hedging?

View Presentation

Introducing Trader GPT by Hedgtrade



August 2023 - Hedgtrade has been in the market since 2018, yet an improved way to consume its vast array of analytics is now to leverage GPT-4. Powered by OpenAI, Trader GPT offers a large language model (LLM) chat function...




JOIN US NOW

Accrue the quality and value of your trading decisions and put the stats in your favor in terms of managing drawdown and taking profits by thinking in terms of daily, weekly or even monthly projection using machine learning and forward-looking cyclical & pattern analytics. If you are a hedge fund manager, financial advisor, HNWI or a serious trader then don't let your next successful trade slip away and get in touch now



Copyright 2024 Hedgtrade - All Rights Reserved



3-Day Free Trial Available



The Hedgtrade platform is a statistically adjusted predictive model that was designed and still is used to power investment firms. The firm's mantra being to democratize its core risk engine, and make the world a better place by helping discerted traders and investors alike

Copyright 2024 Hedgtrade - All Rights Reserved




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The Hedgtrade platform is a statistically adjusted predictive model solution. The firm's mantra being to democratize its core risk engine, and make the world a better place by helping discerted traders and investors alike

Copyright 2024 Hedgtrade - All Rights Reserved